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V-Lab

Cic Holdings Plc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

171.61%

decreased by 17.19%

1 Week

177.05%

decreased by 11.75%

1 Month

194.54%

increased by 5.74%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 05:31 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Cic Holdings Plc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 18, 2008 to Jul 24, 2026
Extended Optimization

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.01 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

277.9415
2.87***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0791
38.91***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9760
105.88***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0128
1,328.56***

Persistence:

0.976

Half-life:

29 days