V-Lab
Cic Holdings Plc MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
35.04%
decreased by 1.12%
1 Week
36.22%
increased by 0.06%
1 Month
39.28%
increased by 3.12%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 18, 2008 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4690 | 13.50*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1358 | 20.23*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8043 | 113.44*** |
Persistence:
0.940
Half-life:
11 days
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