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V-Lab

Cic Holdings Plc MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

35.04%

decreased by 1.12%

1 Week

36.22%

increased by 0.06%

1 Month

39.28%

increased by 3.12%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Cic Holdings Plc MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 18, 2008 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4690
13.50***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1358
20.23***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8043
113.44***

Persistence:

0.940

Half-life:

11 days