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V-Lab

Cic Holdings Plc Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

36.23%

decreased by 1.35%

1 Week

37.24%

decreased by 0.34%

1 Month

39.88%

increased by 2.30%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 01:30 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Cic Holdings Plc AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 18, 2008 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4702
20.75***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1372
18.54***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8040
112.61***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0028
-0.24

Persistence:

0.940

Half-life:

11 days