V-Lab
Cic Holdings Plc Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
36.23%
decreased by 1.35%
1 Week
37.24%
decreased by 0.34%
1 Month
39.88%
increased by 2.30%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 01:30 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 18, 2008 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4702 | 20.75*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1372 | 18.54*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8040 | 112.61*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0028 | -0.24 |
Persistence:
0.940
Half-life:
11 days
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