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V-Lab

Cic Holdings Plc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

28.36%

decreased by 0.58%

1 Week

30.46%

increased by 1.52%

1 Month

35.27%

increased by 6.33%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 05:30 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Cic Holdings Plc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 18, 2008 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4904
10.48***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1253
9.36***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8131
61.46***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0195
-1.11

Persistence:

0.929

Half-life:

9 days