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V-Lab

Cic Holdings Plc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

29.12%

decreased by 0.75%

1 Week

31.03%

increased by 1.16%

1 Month

35.50%

increased by 5.63%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:37 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Cic Holdings Plc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 18, 2008 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4802
10.50***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1245
9.38***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8149
62.59***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0188
-1.07

Persistence:

0.930

Half-life:

10 days