V-Lab
Cic Holdings Plc GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
30.90%
decreased by 0.98%
1 Week
32.51%
increased by 0.63%
1 Month
36.38%
increased by 4.50%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 08:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 18, 2008 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4739 | 10.08*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1151 | 15.56*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8171 | 61.70*** |
Persistence:
0.932
Half-life:
10 days
Other Cic Holdings Plc Analyses
Other GARCH Analyses on International Equities