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V-Lab

Cic Holdings Plc GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

30.90%

decreased by 0.98%

1 Week

32.51%

increased by 0.63%

1 Month

36.38%

increased by 4.50%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 08:11 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Cic Holdings Plc GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 18, 2008 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4739
10.08***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1151
15.56***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8171
61.70***

Persistence:

0.932

Half-life:

10 days