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V-Lab

Caisse Regionale De Credit Agricole Mutuel Toulouse 31 MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

18.38%

increased by 8.95%

1 Week

9.84%

increased by 0.41%

1 Month

5.64%

decreased by 3.79%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 07:08 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Caisse Regionale De Credit Agricole Mutuel Toulouse 31 MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 9, 2026 to Sep 4, 2026
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParamValuet-stat
mwindow41
αARCH0.0000
βGARCH0.0016
γleverage0.4546
λ₁tau intercept0.0232
λ₂forecast adj.0.0001
λ₃tau persistence0.4801

0.229

Persistence

0d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0016
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.4546
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0232
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0001
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.4801

Persistence:

0.229

Half-life:

0 days