V-Lab
Caisse Regionale De Credit Agricole Mutuel Toulouse 31 Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
27.38%
decreased by 1.63%
1 Week
26.87%
decreased by 2.14%
1 Month
26.52%
decreased by 2.49%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:39 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 9, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
μ
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0000 | 2.31** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1459 | 5.09*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4768 | 4.08*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0212 | -0.36 |
δ power Transformation power | 1.8874 | 2.58*** |
Persistence:
0.617
Half-life:
1 days
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