Skip to main content
V-Lab

Caisse Regionale De Credit Agricole Mutuel Toulouse 31 Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

27.38%

decreased by 1.63%

1 Week

26.87%

decreased by 2.14%

1 Month

26.52%

decreased by 2.49%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:39 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Caisse Regionale De Credit Agricole Mutuel Toulouse 31 APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 9, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0000
2.31**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1459
5.09***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4768
4.08***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0212
-0.36
δ

power

Transformation power

1.8874
2.58***

Persistence:

0.617

Half-life:

1 days