V-Lab
Caisse Regionale De Credit Agricole Mutuel Toulouse 31 EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
0.00%
decreased by 0.18%
1 Week
0.00%
decreased by 0.18%
1 Month
0.00%
decreased by 0.18%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:39 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 9, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 37 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 37 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0202 | 0.79 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | -0.3618 | -6.91*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9812 | 2,490.42*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0168 | -0.75 |
Persistence:
0.981
Half-life:
37 days
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