V-Lab
Caisse Regionale De Credit Agricole Mutuel Toulouse 31 Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
26.88%
decreased by 2.10%
1 Week
26.67%
decreased by 2.31%
1 Month
26.56%
decreased by 2.42%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:39 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 9, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3643 | 4.05*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1551 | 2.49** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3520 | 2.56** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0086 | 0.07 |
Persistence:
0.511
Half-life:
1 days
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