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Fic Global Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

2,917.74%

decreased by 6.32%

1 Week

2,914.87%

decreased by 9.19%

1 Month

2,903.40%

decreased by 20.66%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 04:58 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Fic Global Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 30, 2004 to Jul 24, 2026
Extended Optimization
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

438.4445
8.69***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0929
221.25***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9990
8,466.10***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0003

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

693 days