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V-Lab

Fic Global Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

5,333.42%

decreased by 606.77%

1 Week

5,328.12%

decreased by 612.07%

1 Month

5,307.00%

decreased by 633.19%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 08:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Fic Global Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 30, 2004 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

592.5186
8.69***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0930
221.38***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9990
8,466.10***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0002

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

693 days