V-Lab
Fic Global Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
5,333.42%
decreased by 606.77%
1 Week
5,328.12%
decreased by 612.07%
1 Month
5,307.00%
decreased by 633.19%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 08:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 30, 2004 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 592.5186 | 8.69*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0930 | 221.38*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9990 | 8,466.10*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.0002 |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
693 days
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