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V-Lab

Fic Global Inc APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

77.92%

decreased by 3.62%

1 Week

77.57%

decreased by 3.97%

1 Month

76.24%

decreased by 5.30%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 08:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Fic Global Inc APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 30, 2004 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 24% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1648
7.50***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0870
10.49***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9020
114.43***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0545
2.12**
δ

power

Transformation power

1.9689
19.17***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

59 days