V-Lab
Fic Global Inc APARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
77.92%
decreased by 3.62%
1 Week
77.57%
decreased by 3.97%
1 Month
76.24%
decreased by 5.30%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 08:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 30, 2004 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 24% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
APARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1648 | 7.50*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0870 | 10.49*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9020 | 114.43*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0545 | 2.12** |
δ power Transformation power | 1.9689 | 19.17*** |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
59 days
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