V-Lab
Fic Global Inc Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
67.59%
decreased by 0.16%
1 Week
67.17%
decreased by 0.58%
1 Month
65.62%
decreased by 2.13%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 01:53 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 30, 2004 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 29% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1373 | 13.84*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0699 | 19.23*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9240 | 362.08*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0155 | -2.49** |
Persistence:
0.986
Half-life:
50 days
Other Fic Global Inc Analyses
Other Asy. MEM Analyses on International Equities