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V-Lab

Fic Global Inc Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

67.59%

decreased by 0.16%

1 Week

67.17%

decreased by 0.58%

1 Month

65.62%

decreased by 2.13%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 01:53 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Fic Global Inc AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 30, 2004 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 29% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1373
13.84***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0699
19.23***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9240
362.08***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0155
-2.49**

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

50 days