V-Lab
Fic Global Inc GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
76.12%
decreased by 3.08%
1 Week
75.75%
decreased by 3.45%
1 Month
74.35%
decreased by 4.85%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 01:53 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 30, 2004 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 55 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 55 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1752 | 8.15*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0878 | 12.19*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8996 | 102.09*** |
Persistence:
0.987
Half-life:
55 days
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