V-Lab
Fic Global Inc EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
70.21%
decreased by 1.43%
1 Week
68.97%
decreased by 2.67%
1 Month
65.52%
decreased by 6.12%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:14 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 30, 2004 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 21% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1285 | 6.89*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1528 | 9.20*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9504 | 115.66*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0146 | 2.77*** |
Persistence:
0.950
Half-life:
14 days
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