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V-Lab

Fic Global Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

54.12%

decreased by 2.06%

1 Week

54.28%

decreased by 1.90%

1 Month

54.84%

decreased by 1.34%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 02:04 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Fic Global Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 30, 2004 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 59 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 59 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1683
7.94***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0770
6.22***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9013
104.49***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0201
1.30

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

59 days