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V-Lab

Fic Global Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

49.92%

decreased by 0.87%

1 Week

50.17%

decreased by 0.62%

1 Month

51.10%

increased by 0.31%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 04:57 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Fic Global Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 30, 2004 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 58 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 58 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1688
7.97***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0777
6.23***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9012
104.41***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0184
1.18

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

58 days