V-Lab
Fic Global Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
54.12%
decreased by 2.06%
1 Week
54.28%
decreased by 1.90%
1 Month
54.84%
decreased by 1.34%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 02:04 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 30, 2004 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 59 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 59 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1683 | 7.94*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0770 | 6.22*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9013 | 104.49*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0201 | 1.30 |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
59 days
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