V-Lab
Fic Global Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
49.92%
decreased by 0.87%
1 Week
50.17%
decreased by 0.62%
1 Month
51.10%
increased by 0.31%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 04:57 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 30, 2004 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 58 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 58 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1688 | 7.97*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0777 | 6.23*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9012 | 104.41*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0184 | 1.18 |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
58 days
Other Fic Global Inc Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on International Equities