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V-Lab

Fic Global Inc Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

66.34%

increased by 0.51%

1 Week

66.03%

increased by 0.20%

1 Month

64.84%

decreased by 0.99%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 08:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Fic Global Inc APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 30, 2004 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 26% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets. The volatility power δ = 2.39 sits above 2, so large shocks influence volatility more than quadratically, dominating the response more than in standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1817
12.11***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0577
25.30***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9204
372.47***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0491
-4.05***
δ

power

Transformation power

2.3912
39.05***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

59 days