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V-Lab

East Money Information Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

50.90%

decreased by 1.12%

1 Week

50.85%

decreased by 1.17%

1 Month

50.68%

decreased by 1.34%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:18 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of East Money Information Co Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 19, 2010 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 25 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 25 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2715
11.74***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0611
12.23***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9191
247.41***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0154
-1.85*

Persistence:

0.973

Half-life:

25 days