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V-Lab

East Money Information Co Ltd EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

51.58%

decreased by 1.19%

1 Week

51.92%

decreased by 0.85%

1 Month

53.00%

increased by 0.23%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:18 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of East Money Information Co Ltd EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 19, 2010 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 20 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 20 days.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0874
13.55***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1363
15.95***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9657
342.09***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0252
1.82*

Persistence:

0.966

Half-life:

20 days