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V-Lab

East Money Information Co Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

48.01%

decreased by 2.14%

1 Week

48.32%

decreased by 1.83%

1 Month

49.22%

decreased by 0.93%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:18 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of East Money Information Co Ltd AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 19, 2010 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5255
22.36***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0883
36.47***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8611
349.77***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.949

Half-life:

13 days