East Money Information Co Ltd MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
45.54%
decreased by 0.87%
1 Week
46.11%
decreased by 0.30%
1 Month
48.00%
increased by 1.59%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:18 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 19, 2010 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 26 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 26 days.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3283 | 7.73*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1628 | 27.66*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8104 | 138.81*** |
Persistence:
0.973
Half-life:
26 days
Other East Money Information Co Ltd Analyses
Other MEM Analyses on International Equities