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V-Lab

East Money Information Co Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

45.49%

decreased by 0.74%

1 Week

46.12%

decreased by 0.11%

1 Month

48.19%

increased by 1.96%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:18 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of East Money Information Co Ltd AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 19, 2010 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 26 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 26 days.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3306
15.85***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1605
20.44***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8075
140.57***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0120
0.96

Persistence:

0.974

Half-life:

26 days