V-Lab
Xtrackers S&P 100 Ex Top 20 ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
10.82%
decreased by 0.54%
1 Week
11.43%
increased by 0.07%
1 Month
12.11%
increased by 0.75%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 28, 2022 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6107 | 25.89*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2424 | 15.99*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.4133 | 0.16 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.3161 | 0.19 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.732
Half-life:
2 days
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