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V-Lab

Xtrackers S&P 100 Ex Top 20 ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026

1 Day

12.16%

decreased by 1.19%

1 Week

12.35%

decreased by 1.00%

1 Month

12.16%

decreased by 1.19%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:24 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Xtrackers S&P 100 Ex Top 20 ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 28, 2022 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5956
24.67***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2552
16.66***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.4136
0.17
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.3180
0.20
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.723

Half-life:

2 days