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V-Lab

Xtrackers S&P 100 Ex Top 20 ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

10.82%

decreased by 0.54%

1 Week

11.43%

increased by 0.07%

1 Month

12.11%

increased by 0.75%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Xtrackers S&P 100 Ex Top 20 ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 28, 2022 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6107
25.89***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2424
15.99***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.4133
0.16
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.3161
0.19
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.732

Half-life:

2 days