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V-Lab

Ishares Core Equity ETF PTF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

13.00%

decreased by 0.68%

1 Week

13.35%

decreased by 0.33%

1 Month

14.47%

increased by 0.79%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:20 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Ishares Core Equity ETF PTF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 13, 2019 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7744
59.07***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2138
25.49***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0120
2.04**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0529
2.43**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9288
32.78***

Persistence:

0.881

Half-life:

5 days