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V-Lab

City of London Investment Group PLC MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

12.91%

decreased by 1.20%

1 Week

12.68%

decreased by 1.43%

1 Month

12.48%

decreased by 1.63%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of City of London Investment Group PLC MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2026 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0493
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2467
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0058
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0876
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0019
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8279

Persistence:

0.293

Half-life:

1 days