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V-Lab
V-Lab

First Trust NASDAQ Clean Edge Green Energy Index Fund GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026

1 Day

31.68%

increased by 0.81%

1 Week

31.75%

increased by 0.88%

1 Month

31.98%

increased by 1.11%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:25 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of First Trust NASDAQ Clean Edge Green Energy Index Fund GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 14, 2007 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, volatility shocks have a half-life of 95 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 12.21 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.993, shock half-life ~95 daysv = 12.21 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0542
2.09**
αARCH0.0722
8.55***
βGARCH0.9927
233.75***
νDF12.2056
0.89

0.993

Persistence

95d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0542
2.09**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0722
8.55***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9927
233.75***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

12.2056
0.89

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

95 days