V-Lab
First Trust NASDAQ Clean Edge Green Energy Index Fund MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
41.67%
decreased by 1.51%
1 Week
41.69%
decreased by 1.49%
1 Month
41.17%
decreased by 2.01%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 14, 2007 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8377 | 99.53*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1320 | 23.65*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0214 | 2.66*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0568 | 3.69*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9386 | 55.84*** |
Persistence:
0.904
Half-life:
7 days
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