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V-Lab

First Trust NASDAQ Clean Edge Green Energy Index Fund GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026

1 Day

32.03%

increased by 0.40%

1 Week

32.11%

increased by 0.48%

1 Month

32.41%

increased by 0.78%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:25 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of First Trust NASDAQ Clean Edge Green Energy Index Fund GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 14, 2007 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 107 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.994, shock half-life ~107 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0363
3.83***
αARCH0.0736
7.74***
βGARCH0.9200
98.35***

0.994

Persistence

107d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0363
3.83***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0736
7.74***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9200
98.35***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

107 days