S&P / ASX 200 Volatility Index

CBOE EFA ETF Volatility Index

How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
mwindow	36
αARCH	0.1310	2.97***
βGARCH	0.0000	0.00
γleverage	-0.1310	-2.98***
λ₁tau intercept	7.7504	1.66*
λ₂forecast adj.	0.9147	6.24***
λ₃tau persistence	0.0000	0.00

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	36
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.1310	2.97***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.0000	0.00
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	-0.1310	-2.98***
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	7.7504	1.66*
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.9147	6.24***
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.0000	0.00

V-Lab

Palisade Metals Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other Palisade Metals Ltd Analyses