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Palisade Metals Ltd Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026

1 Day

114.09%

decreased by 9.20%

1 Week

113.88%

decreased by 9.41%

1 Month

113.22%

decreased by 10.07%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 05:58 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/22/2024

to

10/22/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Palisade Metals Ltd APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 23, 2021 to Oct 20, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 20 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 20 days. The volatility power δ = 1.53 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 20-day half-lifeδ = 1.53 · sub-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.6521
1.22
αARCH0.1946
5.60***
βGARCH0.7981
23.44***
γleverage-0.0063
-0.09
δpower1.5298
3.16***

0.967

Persistence

20d

Half-life
μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6521
1.22
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1946
5.60***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7981
23.44***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0063
-0.09
δ

power

Transformation power

1.5298
3.16***

Persistence:

0.967

Half-life:

20 days