Palisade Metals Ltd GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026
1 Day
107.53%
decreased by 5.69%
1 Week
108.35%
decreased by 4.87%
1 Month
110.77%
decreased by 2.45%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 05:58 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 23, 2021 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days.
σ
GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 15-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 2.4584 | 1.23 |
| αARCH | 0.1007 | 2.95*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8537 | 16.83*** |
0.954
Persistence15d
Half-lifeσ
GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.4584 | 1.23 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1007 | 2.95*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8537 | 16.83*** |
Persistence:
0.954
Half-life:
15 days
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