Palisade Metals Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026
1 Day
118.39%
decreased by 0.29%
1 Week
118.37%
decreased by 0.31%
1 Month
118.32%
decreased by 0.36%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 05:58 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 23, 2021 to Oct 20, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.24 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 7-day half-lifev = 6.24 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωlong-run | 65.4577 | 2.69*** |
| αscore | 0.1091 | 2.58*** |
| βpersistence | 0.9066 | 18.81*** |
| νDF | 6.2394 | 0.59 |
0.907
Persistence7d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω long-run Long-run variance given a price move | 65.4577 | 2.69*** |
α score Weight on the scaled score | 0.1091 | 2.58*** |
β persistence Volatility persistence | 0.9066 | 18.81*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 6.2394 | 0.59 |
Persistence:
0.907
Half-life:
7 days
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