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V-Lab

Palisade Metals Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026

1 Day

118.39%

decreased by 0.29%

1 Week

118.37%

decreased by 0.31%

1 Month

118.32%

decreased by 0.36%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 05:58 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/22/2024

to

10/22/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Palisade Metals Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 23, 2021 to Oct 20, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.24 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 7-day half-lifev = 6.24 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run65.4577
2.69***
αscore0.1091
2.58***
βpersistence0.9066
18.81***
νDF6.2394
0.59

0.907

Persistence

7d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

65.4577
2.69***
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.1091
2.58***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9066
18.81***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.2394
0.59

Persistence:

0.907

Half-life:

7 days