Palisade Metals Ltd EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026
1 Day
108.47%
decreased by 9.85%
1 Week
110.65%
decreased by 7.67%
1 Month
114.85%
decreased by 3.47%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 05:58 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 23, 2021 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.5218 | 1.53 |
| αARCH | 0.2178 | 3.96*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8701 | 10.04*** |
| γleverage | 0.0334 | 0.51 |
0.870
Persistence5d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5218 | 1.53 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2178 | 3.96*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8701 | 10.04*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0334 | 0.51 |
Persistence:
0.870
Half-life:
5 days
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