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V-Lab

Palisade Metals Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026

1 Day

113.57%

decreased by 9.29%

1 Week

113.92%

decreased by 8.94%

1 Month

114.80%

decreased by 8.06%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 05:58 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/22/2024

to

10/22/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Palisade Metals Ltd AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 23, 2021 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 9-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst3.8246
1.54
αARCH0.1376
3.69***
βGARCH0.7888
16.66***
γleverage0.8849
0.81

0.926

Persistence

9d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.8246
1.54
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1376
3.69***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7888
16.66***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.8849
0.81

Persistence:

0.926

Half-life:

9 days