Palisade Metals Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026
1 Day
113.57%
decreased by 9.29%
1 Week
113.92%
decreased by 8.94%
1 Month
114.80%
decreased by 8.06%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 05:58 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 23, 2021 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days.
σ
AGARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 9-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 3.8246 | 1.54 |
| αARCH | 0.1376 | 3.69*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7888 | 16.66*** |
| γleverage | 0.8849 | 0.81 |
0.926
Persistence9d
Half-lifeσ
AGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.8246 | 1.54 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1376 | 3.69*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7888 | 16.66*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.8849 | 0.81 |
Persistence:
0.926
Half-life:
9 days
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