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V-Lab

National Stock Exchange CNX Nifty Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

10.32%

decreased by 0.23%

1 Week

11.04%

increased by 0.49%

1 Month

12.29%

increased by 1.74%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 12:02 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of National Stock Exchange CNX Nifty Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 339% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0474
11.93***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7685
110.72***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1608
27.33***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0055
5.10***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0476
7.99***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9505
152.59***

Persistence:

0.896

Half-life:

6 days