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V-Lab

National Stock Exchange CNX Nifty Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

12.99%

decreased by 0.29%

1 Week

13.49%

increased by 0.21%

1 Month

14.62%

increased by 1.34%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 12:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of National Stock Exchange CNX Nifty Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 341% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0474
11.85***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7666
109.31***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1616
27.32***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0058
5.11***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0485
7.88***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9495
147.39***

Persistence:

0.895

Half-life:

6 days