V-Lab
MSCI Chile GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026
1 Day
19.74%
decreased by 1.10%
1 Week
19.82%
decreased by 1.02%
1 Month
20.10%
decreased by 0.74%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 11:35 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Apr 30, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 79% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0216 | 27.24*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0790 | 27.13*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8797 | 446.32*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0624 | 10.72*** |
Persistence:
0.990
Half-life:
68 days
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