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V-Lab

MSCI Chile GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026

1 Day

24.07%

increased by 7.43%

1 Week

24.03%

increased by 7.39%

1 Month

23.91%

increased by 7.27%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 09:04 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/22/2024

to

10/22/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of MSCI Chile GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Oct 15, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 67 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 67 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 67-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0204
6.88***
αARCH0.1102
12.66***
βGARCH0.8796
106.28***

0.990

Persistence

67d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0204
6.88***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1102
12.66***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8796
106.28***

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

67 days