MSCI Chile EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026
1 Day
20.31%
decreased by 1.25%
1 Week
20.36%
decreased by 1.20%
1 Month
20.56%
decreased by 1.00%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 11:35 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Apr 30, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 45% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0127 | 17.28*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2073 | 58.84*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9799 | 1,306.53*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0382 | -12.50*** |
Persistence:
0.980
Half-life:
34 days
Other MSCI Chile Analyses
Other EGARCH Analyses on Equity Indices