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V-Lab

MSCI Chile EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

23.92%

increased by 2.20%

1 Week

23.84%

increased by 2.12%

1 Month

23.55%

increased by 1.83%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of MSCI Chile EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Oct 1, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 46% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 46% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0126
4.31***
αARCH0.2052
14.72***
βGARCH0.9802
334.55***
γleverage-0.0384
-3.16***

0.980

Persistence

35d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0126
4.31***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2052
14.72***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9802
334.55***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0384
-3.16***

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

35 days