V-Lab
PT M Cash Integras GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
247.19%
decreased by 43.21%
1 Week
247.02%
decreased by 43.38%
1 Month
246.44%
decreased by 43.96%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 03:29 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 1, 2017 to Aug 21, 2026Extended Optimization
Model Insight
The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.08 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 235.6233 | 3.44*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1889 | 79.70*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9750 | 141.37*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.0773 | 456.85*** |
Persistence:
0.975
Half-life:
27 days
Other PT M Cash Integras Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on International Equities