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V-Lab

PT M Cash Integras GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

247.19%

decreased by 43.21%

1 Week

247.02%

decreased by 43.38%

1 Month

246.44%

decreased by 43.96%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 03:29 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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graph of PT M Cash Integras GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 1, 2017 to Aug 21, 2026
Extended Optimization

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.08 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

235.6233
3.44***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1889
79.70***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9750
141.37***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0773
456.85***

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

27 days