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V-Lab

PT M Cash Integras GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

340.92%

increased by 94.31%

1 Week

336.61%

increased by 90.00%

1 Month

321.78%

increased by 75.17%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 06:03 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

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graph of PT M Cash Integras GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 1, 2017 to Aug 7, 2026
Extended Optimization

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.07 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

245.8404
3.32***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1890
73.01***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9723
122.20***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0680
472.36***

Persistence:

0.972

Half-life:

25 days