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V-Lab

PT M Cash Integras GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

254.21%

increased by 70.83%

1 Week

251.83%

increased by 68.45%

1 Month

244.07%

increased by 60.69%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 06:10 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

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graph of PT M Cash Integras GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 1, 2017 to Jul 24, 2026
Extended Optimization

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.07 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

186.1062
3.05***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1819
53.77***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9647
86.57***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0708
347.73***

Persistence:

0.965

Half-life:

19 days