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V-Lab
V-Lab

S&P GSCI Livestock Spot Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026

1 Day

14.25%

increased by 0.68%

1 Week

14.24%

increased by 0.67%

1 Month

14.23%

increased by 0.66%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 15, 2026 at 11:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of S&P GSCI Livestock Spot Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 153% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 153% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0138
5.29***
αARCH0.0246
3.51***
βGARCH0.9392
155.34***
γleverage0.0377
2.40**

0.983

Persistence

40d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0138
5.29***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0246
3.51***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9392
155.34***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0377
2.40**

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

40 days