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V-Lab

Gvs S P A MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026

1 Day

35.58%

increased by 0.02%

1 Week

39.29%

increased by 3.73%

1 Month

41.18%

increased by 5.62%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 07:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Gvs S P A MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 19, 2020 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0876
1.89*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.1165
0.77
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1877
1.38
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

4.3794
1.19
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.4277
1.17
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.298

Half-life:

1 days