V-Lab
Gvs S P A MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
36.32%
decreased by 1.51%
1 Week
39.38%
increased by 1.55%
1 Month
41.49%
increased by 3.66%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 11:08 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 19, 2020 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 213% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0878 | 6.46*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.1166 | 1.79* |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1869 | 4.27*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 4.4359 | 0.11 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.4224 | 0.11 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.298
Half-life:
1 days
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