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V-Lab
V-Lab

Gvs S P A Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026

1 Day

31.14%

decreased by 3.34%

1 Week

29.05%

decreased by 5.43%

1 Month

23.37%

decreased by 11.11%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 07:26 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Gvs S P A APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 19, 2020 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days. The volatility power δ = 0.50 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 17-day half-lifeδ = 0.50 · sub-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0293
3.06***
αARCH0.2199
7.24***
βGARCH0.7801
24.98***
γleverage0.0532
0.96
δpower0.5000
1.55

0.961

Persistence

17d

Half-life
μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0293
3.06***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2199
7.24***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7801
24.98***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0532
0.96
δ

power

Transformation power

0.5000
1.55

Persistence:

0.961

Half-life:

17 days