V-Lab
Gvs S P A GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
35.36%
decreased by 0.06%
1 Week
39.73%
increased by 4.31%
1 Month
41.79%
increased by 6.37%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 08:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 19, 2020 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 1-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 3.3801 | 2.72*** |
| αARCH | 0.2100 | 2.78*** |
| βGARCH | 0.3174 | 1.69* |
0.527
Persistence1d
Half-lifeσ
GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.3801 | 2.72*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2100 | 2.78*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3174 | 1.69* |
Persistence:
0.527
Half-life:
1 days
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