Skip to main content
V-Lab

CRA International Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

38.18%

decreased by 1.19%

1 Week

40.71%

increased by 1.34%

1 Month

44.30%

increased by 4.93%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:36 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CRA International Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 24, 1998 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 116% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4541
20.20***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1019
14.32***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6690
63.28***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1179
6.74***

Persistence:

0.830

Half-life:

4 days