V-Lab
CRA International Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
38.18%
decreased by 1.19%
1 Week
40.71%
increased by 1.34%
1 Month
44.30%
increased by 4.93%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 24, 1998 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 116% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4541 | 20.20*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1019 | 14.32*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6690 | 63.28*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1179 | 6.74*** |
Persistence:
0.830
Half-life:
4 days
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