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V-Lab

CRA International Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

48.70%

increased by 8.89%

1 Week

48.05%

increased by 8.24%

1 Month

47.04%

increased by 7.23%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CRA International Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 24, 1998 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 114% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4570
20.24***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1023
14.36***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6687
63.23***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1169
6.69***

Persistence:

0.829

Half-life:

4 days