V-Lab
CRA International Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
37.78%
decreased by 1.03%
1 Week
40.44%
increased by 1.63%
1 Month
44.18%
increased by 5.37%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:41 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 24, 1998 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 113% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4559 | 20.24*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1025 | 14.37*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6688 | 63.19*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1161 | 6.65*** |
Persistence:
0.829
Half-life:
4 days
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