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V-Lab

CRA International Inc Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

45.71%

increased by 0.17%

1 Week

44.65%

decreased by 0.89%

1 Month

41.96%

decreased by 3.58%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of CRA International Inc APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 24, 1998 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 19% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.29 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2309
18.42***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2148
50.23***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7475
143.36***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0658
7.89***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.2890
29.78***

Persistence:

0.925

Half-life:

9 days