Skip to main content
V-Lab

CRA International Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

35.90%

decreased by 0.54%

1 Week

38.25%

increased by 1.81%

1 Month

40.19%

increased by 3.75%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:37 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CRA International Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 24, 1998 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 123% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0894
10.92***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5366
31.17***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1100
8.67***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0206
0.47
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0080
0.95
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9893
74.88***

Persistence:

0.681

Half-life:

2 days