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V-Lab

Dow Jones Composite Average GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

10.62%

decreased by 0.31%

1 Week

10.91%

decreased by 0.02%

1 Month

11.84%

increased by 0.91%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 12:04 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Dow Jones Composite Average GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0229
21.00***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0119
5.92***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8955
444.88***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1387
25.67***

Persistence:

0.977

Half-life:

30 days