Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Dow Jones Composite Average GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 13th, 2026

1 Day

11.08%

decreased by 0.34%

1 Week

11.33%

decreased by 0.09%

1 Month

12.15%

increased by 0.73%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 13, 2026 at 12:04 AM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/12/2024

to

10/12/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Dow Jones Composite Average GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0228
5.25***
αARCH0.0119
1.49
βGARCH0.8960
111.58***
γleverage0.1376
6.40***

0.977

Persistence

29d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0228
5.25***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0119
1.49
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8960
111.58***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1376
6.40***

Persistence:

0.977

Half-life:

29 days