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V-Lab

Catalyst Media Group PLC MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

45.65%

decreased by 0.72%

1 Week

50.06%

increased by 3.69%

1 Month

51.81%

increased by 5.44%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 02:28 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Catalyst Media Group PLC MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2007 to Aug 21, 2026
Illiquid Asset

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

56
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1039
6.44***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4559
12.52***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0391
1.62
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

4.9673
0.46
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.4589
0.86
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.579

Half-life:

1 days