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Catalyst Media Group PLC AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 7th, 2026

1 Day

44.76%

decreased by 1.14%

1 Week

45.58%

decreased by 0.32%

1 Month

47.64%

increased by 1.74%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, September 6, 2026 at 02:10 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Catalyst Media Group PLC AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2007 to Sep 4, 2026
Illiquid Asset

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 10-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.6814
3.19***
αARCH0.0642
3.96***
βGARCH0.8666
41.07***
γleverage0.6395
0.46

0.931

Persistence

10d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6814
3.19***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0642
3.96***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8666
41.07***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.6395
0.46

Persistence:

0.931

Half-life:

10 days