V-Lab
Catalyst Media Group PLC GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 1st, 2026
1 Day
49.31%
decreased by 1.03%
1 Week
49.51%
decreased by 0.83%
1 Month
50.19%
decreased by 0.15%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 03:24 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 2007 to Aug 28, 2026Illiquid Asset
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 28 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 28 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2779 | 1.76* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0438 | 2.90*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9316 | 36.36*** |
Persistence:
0.975
Half-life:
28 days
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