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V-Lab

Catalyst Media Group PLC GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 1st, 2026

1 Day

49.31%

decreased by 1.03%

1 Week

49.51%

decreased by 0.83%

1 Month

50.19%

decreased by 0.15%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 03:24 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Catalyst Media Group PLC GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2007 to Aug 28, 2026
Illiquid Asset

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 28 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 28 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2779
1.76*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0438
2.90***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9316
36.36***

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

28 days