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Catalyst Media Group PLC EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 7th, 2026

1 Day

49.32%

decreased by 1.36%

1 Week

51.64%

increased by 0.96%

1 Month

59.77%

increased by 9.09%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, September 6, 2026 at 02:09 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Catalyst Media Group PLC EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2007 to Sep 4, 2026
Illiquid Asset

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 16-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1401
1.84*
αARCH0.1241
3.34***
βGARCH0.9588
43.94***
γleverage-0.0452
-1.05

0.959

Persistence

16d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1401
1.84*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1241
3.34***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9588
43.94***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0452
-1.05

Persistence:

0.959

Half-life:

16 days